Exoplanet transit classifier — results

Kepler light curves classified as exoplanet transit or non-transit · generated 2026-08-03 17:39 UTC

Chosen model
gradient_boosting
CV ROC-AUC (mean ± std)
0.9457 ± 0.0488
Test ROC-AUC
1.000
Test PR-AUC
1.000
Train size
3815

Evaluation

splitROC-AUCPR-AUCprecisionrecallF1pos / neg
validation0.9170.58780.0%44.4%0.5719 / 1263
test1.0001.000100.0%60.0%0.7505 / 565

Confusion matrix (test, threshold 0.5)

predicted non-exoplanetpredicted exoplanet
actual non-exoplanet5650
actual exoplanet23

Curves

ROC curve
Precision-recall curve

Training curve

Validation ROC-AUC during training

Validation ROC-AUC measured after every 10th boosting iteration of the chosen model; the last point is the fitted model.

What the model looks at

Feature importance
Sample light curves

Importance from gradient_boosting.